The Future ofPrediction Markets
Institutional-grade prediction markets with real-time crowd-implied probabilities. Trade convictions. Access alternative data. Make informed decisions.
Fed Rate Cut
73% Yes
NVDA Earnings Beat
82% Yes
Traders Online
2,847
Trade the Narrative
Access institutional-grade prediction markets for macro, earnings, tech, and crypto events. Real-time probabilities powered by crowd wisdom.
Built for Excellence
Every feature designed with institutional requirements in mind. Performance, security, and data quality without compromise.
Real-Time Order Books
Deep liquidity with live bid/ask spreads. Execute trades instantly with minimal slippage on our high-performance matching engine.
Crowd-Implied Probabilities
Market prices encode collective beliefs. Access live probability estimates derived from actual capital at risk.
Instant Settlement
Built on BNB Chain for sub-second finality. Markets resolve automatically with on-chain verification.
Alternative Data API
Export probability time series, volume metrics, and sentiment aggregates. Integrate crowd signals into your research workflow.
Institutional Security
Audited smart contracts, multi-sig treasury, and enterprise-grade custody solutions for institutional participants.
Non-Custodial
Your keys, your funds. Trade directly from your wallet with full transparency and no counterparty risk.
Trade in Four Steps
From wallet connection to winnings collection, the entire flow is streamlined for efficiency.
Connect Wallet
Link your Web3 wallet to access the platform. We support MetaMask, WalletConnect, and all major providers.
Non-custodial architecture means you always control your funds.
Discover Markets
Browse curated prediction markets across macro, earnings, tech, and crypto categories.
Filter by category, volume, or probability to find opportunities.
Place Your Trade
Buy Yes or No shares at current market prices, or place limit orders in the order book.
Real-time order matching with transparent on-chain execution.
Collect Winnings
Markets resolve based on verified outcomes. Winning shares are automatically settled.
Instant payouts directly to your wallet. No intermediaries.
Institutional-Grade Order Books
Deep liquidity pools with real-time bid/ask spreads. Place market orders for instant execution or set limit orders to trade at your preferred prices. Every transaction is transparent and settled on-chain.
Live off-chain mirror from https://api.agoratrades.org/orders/0 · (empty or API down)
Fed Rate Cut June 2025
Order Book
Alternative Data API
Integrate crowd-implied probabilities and sentiment data into your research workflow. Real-time feeds designed for quantitative strategies.
// Fetch market probability time series
const response = await fetch(
"https://api.agora.market/v1/markets/fed-rate-cut/probability"
);
const data = await response.json();
// Output:
// {
// market: 'fed-rate-cut-june-2025',
// probability: 0.73,
// change_24h: 0.052,
// volume_24h: 2400000,
// timestamp: '2025-04-09T10:30:00Z'
// }/api/markets/api/markets/{id}/probability/api/markets/{id}/orderbook/api/ordersHistorical Data
Access full probability time series and volume data for backtesting and research.
Real-Time Streams
WebSocket feeds for live price updates, order book changes, and trade executions.
SDK Support
Official libraries for Python, TypeScript, and Go with full type safety.
Webhooks
Get notified on market resolutions, large trades, and significant price movements.
Ready to Trade the Future?
Join thousands of traders and institutions accessing crowd-implied probabilities on the most sophisticated prediction market platform.